Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x069b60ae80805d1d9f846383bc0b67ffe361dbd1f6b813affac7373da4c40a48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mbokoof Mboko, Bartunkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Bartunkova | 50c | 9,031$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.88 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Mboko | 54c | 7,414$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.99 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Mboko | 50c | 6,501$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.52 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Bartunkova | 51c | 4,884$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bartunkova | 46c | 4,762$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.56 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Mboko | 52c | 2,639$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.01 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Mboko | 53c | 1,879$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.87 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Bartunkova | 47c | 1,068$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.15 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Mboko | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Bartunkova | 48c | 463.74$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.57 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Bartunkova | 47c | 369.6$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Mboko | 52c | 227.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Bartunkova | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mboko | 50c | 215.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Bartunkova | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Mboko | 52c | 193.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Bartunkova | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Bartunkova | 49c | 158.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Mboko | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Bartunkova | 18c | 117.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mboko | 42c | 115.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Mboko | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Mboko | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bartunkova | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Bartunkova | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Mboko | 52c | 50.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Mboko | 51c | 50.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 245 | 46.5%114 W · 131 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Mboko | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Mboko | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bartunkova | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350c…73d5backed Mboko | 52c | 22.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Mboko | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5)this page
- Mboko vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola BartunkovaVictoria Mboko won
- Set 1 Winner: Mboko vs BartunkovaMboko won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.