MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a34f6d7d4228d3a3af6c03b8e28960e20e79eba4d4e2bc1d5912910d414cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 4,329$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 4,120$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.31 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 1,938$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.01 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 964.87$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 628.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.57 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 21c | 605.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.68 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 17c | 588.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.4 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 572.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.09 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 524.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 390.74$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.24 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 259.12$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 254.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.31 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 236.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 228.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 218.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 196.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 156.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 130.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 129.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 90.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 90.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 87.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 62.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 56.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 50.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 15.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 14.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.