Tennis · resolved market
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b74612b11f1e094e7dec3717d32513f169175e587447633a3f46c0b279f77b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Damir Dzumhurof Damir Dzumhur, Geoffrey Blancaneaux
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 10c | 4,432$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 7c | 1,923$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 9c | 1,619$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 10c | 1,110$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 12c | 1,094$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 10c | 804.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…987ebacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 12c | 607.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 29c | 583.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.26 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 13c | 500.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…e773backed Damir Dzumhur | 74c | 400$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 7c | 393.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 24c | 379.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 16c | 224.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Damir Dzumhur | 71c | 213.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Damir Dzumhur | 71c | 200.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Damir Dzumhur | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 173 | 72.3%125 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Damir Dzumhur | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 18c | 102$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Damir Dzumhur | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Damir Dzumhur | 71c | 92.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Damir Dzumhur | 77c | 84.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Damir Dzumhur | 73c | 66.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 26c | 62.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Damir Dzumhur | 75c | 53.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…03b2backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Damir Dzumhur | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Damir Dzumhur | 73c | 29.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Damir Dzumhur | 74c | 27.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Damir Dzumhur | 73c | 23.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Damir Dzumhur | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.