South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06ed5d48ae2aa67560b2c1136f84e67500c1d5a84045ea83f31fc88c28959d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 65c | 19,758$12,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,842.85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 2,567$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,626$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.89 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4dc1backed Yes | 73c | 1,122$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 1,087$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.07 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 610.23$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.1 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…18c1backed Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 68c | 294.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 33c | 290.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.91 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed No | 17c | 274.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…e226backed No | 56c | 250.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed No | 8c | 164.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +506.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 43c | 163.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -10.4wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 77c | 147.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 146.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 68c | 142.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 72c | 138.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3b…05cfbacked Yes | 68c | 132.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 64c | 119.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked No | 32c | 103.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3671…e31dbacked No | 66c | 91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 36c | 82.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0b…53aabacked Yes | 35c | 81.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…52dabacked Yes | 36c | 77.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Yes | 68c | 76.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 57c | 73.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 19c | 68.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 65c | 67.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 25c | 58.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…3217backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 47c | 51.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…0074backed Yes | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30d…e0b1backed Yes | 35c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 65c | 34.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 36c | 31.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…5b36backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 26.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…7245backed No | 66c | 25.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…d89dbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 53c | 21.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.