Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belgium vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x072819cbe84ae843a2805f82ea9840ccaf2e4cc1c2493a06f891d469ce14ce87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 18c | 18,497$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 17c | 8,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.96 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 18c | 2,105$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.9 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 1,568$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.92 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 17c | 1,166$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.67 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…3720backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 937.25$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Yes | 10c | 855.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 16c | 765.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 14c | 717.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 10c | 715.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 609.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…9aa5backed Yes | 2c | 575$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 10c | 443.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…77dcbacked Yes | 18c | 404.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 17c | 370.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 17c | 344.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3923…9d98backed Yes | 9c | 297.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 18c | 277.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 260.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x313f…fb14backed Yes | 7c | 246.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad37…dbd6backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 17c | 154.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…1b98backed Yes | 18c | 133.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 17c | 114.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1416…670cbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 18c | 109.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 18c | 108.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9a…83efbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…3e81backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 17c | 99.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 20c | 90.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…2889backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…363ebacked Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium vs. Tunisia end in a draw?this page
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.