Tennis · resolved market
ITF Galati: Lavinia Luciano vs Anastasia Safta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0787c61d54c5e3de3c30e9ba5250951ce8d59731b4eb4a73799d51950aff9a8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasia Saftaof Lavinia Luciano, Anastasia Safta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Anastasia Safta | 61c | 2,100$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.04 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavinia Luciano | 39c | 1,505$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.71 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavinia Luciano | 18c | 992.55$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lavinia Luciano | 42c | 555.63$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.86 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anastasia Safta | 62c | 491.12$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lavinia Luciano | 38c | 469.94$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.58 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lavinia Luciano | 37c | 389.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lavinia Luciano | 43c | 349$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Anastasia Safta | 57c | 211$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Lavinia Luciano | 45c | 114.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Lavinia Luciano | 44c | 100.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Anastasia Safta | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Lavinia Luciano | 39c | 99.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Anastasia Safta | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lavinia Luciano | 35c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Lavinia Luciano | 39c | 94.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Anastasia Safta | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anastasia Safta | 61c | 79.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Anastasia Safta | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Anastasia Safta | 61c | 72.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anastasia Safta | 58c | 62.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Anastasia Safta | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anastasia Safta | 55c | 59.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lavinia Luciano | 37c | 57.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lavinia Luciano | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Lavinia Luciano | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Anastasia Safta | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Anastasia Safta | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Lavinia Luciano | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lavinia Luciano | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lavinia Luciano | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Lavinia Luciano | 40c | 32.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lavinia Luciano | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Lavinia Luciano | 39c | 29.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Lavinia Luciano | 45c | 26.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Lavinia Luciano | 45c | 24.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.