NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a2a1a87c0e4f2d7ff22e7edcf9858813ad1e791fc442f85588b0c583b0a897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 40c | 815.05$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.95 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 800.88$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.36 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 7c | 461.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 336.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 40c | 325$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 41c | 204$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Over | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Over | 59c | 137.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…bc44backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 60c | 107.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 44c | 107$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 42c | 95.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 59c | 64.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 56c | 40.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 59c | 30.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 41c | 30.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 26.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d04…171fbacked Under | 65c | 16.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.