Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: AKA HERO vs Dortmund eSports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0809efe5e20ca8b04744bde0ae171c37145573fba3398139fbff4d6d5db9b2a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AKA HEROof AKA HERO, Dortmund eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Dortmund eSports | 9c | 2,640$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…b80ebacked Dortmund eSports | 27c | 274.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed AKA HERO | 48c | 264.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Dortmund eSports | 50c | 244.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed AKA HERO | 53c | 241.58$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dortmund eSports | 49c | 221.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed AKA HERO | 49c | 191.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Dortmund eSports | 18c | 135.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dortmund eSports | 52c | 104.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dortmund eSports | 35c | 76.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed AKA HERO | 55c | 66.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked AKA HERO | 49c | 57.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AKA HERO | 51c | 54.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Dortmund eSports | 22c | 53.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed AKA HERO | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…84c4backed AKA HERO | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dortmund eSports | 28c | 38.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked AKA HERO | 42c | 36.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Dortmund eSports | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed AKA HERO | 40c | 26.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Dortmund eSports | 60c | 25.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed AKA HERO | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: AKA HERO vs Dortmund eSports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: AKA HERO vs Dortmund eSports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group StageDortmund eSports won
- Valorant: AKA HERO vs Dortmund eSports - Map 1 WinnerDortmund eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.