Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08115db1d5367506272f90ee19ad0e24c30c98368a68ead2c26831b3fda0cd1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Cloud9 | 47c | 1,110$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.7 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 53c | 1,100$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.33 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked G2 Esports | 52c | 638.08$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.08 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Cloud9 | 50c | 606$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked G2 Esports | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Cloud9 | 47c | 393.49$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Cloud9 | 46c | 350.48$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed G2 Esports | 51c | 194.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cloud9 | 47c | 138.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Cloud9 | 49c | 128.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…7525backed Cloud9 | 47c | 94.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Cloud9 | 49c | 91.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Cloud9 | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked G2 Esports | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked G2 Esports | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Cloud9 | 47c | 53.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed G2 Esports | 54c | 51.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud9 | 46c | 51.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Cloud9 | 50c | 44.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Cloud9 | 50c | 44.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked G2 Esports | 53c | 41.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed G2 Esports | 53c | 38.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…5e79backed G2 Esports | 53c | 31.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed G2 Esports | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed G2 Esports | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.