CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x087fd5b13c2341d748ef80d1ce0cf3702f30c5992b35f2fd93b07dfad0d3e153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof CSDIILIT, QUAZAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed QUAZAR | 65c | 916.37$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.26 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed CSDIILIT | 30c | 909.54$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.33 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…e615backed QUAZAR | 78c | 812.66$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed CSDIILIT | 27c | 444.88$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed QUAZAR | 58c | 297.17$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed CSDIILIT | 35c | 244.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed CSDIILIT | 41c | 240.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…abb3backed CSDIILIT | 24c | 233.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 165.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed CSDIILIT | 41c | 158.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed QUAZAR | 68c | 147.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked CSDIILIT | 38c | 133.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 121.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QUAZAR | 64c | 116.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked QUAZAR | 75c | 110.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR | 78c | 105.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed CSDIILIT | 44c | 99.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked QUAZAR | 72c | 83.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked QUAZAR | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked CSDIILIT | 35c | 75.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed CSDIILIT | 28c | 73.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked QUAZAR | 69c | 68.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed CSDIILIT | 18c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed CSDIILIT | 34c | 60.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked CSDIILIT | 21c | 52.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked QUAZAR | 66c | 50.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked CSDIILIT | 35c | 48.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked CSDIILIT | 35c | 48.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed QUAZAR | 74c | 46.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed CSDIILIT | 44c | 42.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…368dbacked QUAZAR | 80c | 35.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 33.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked CSDIILIT | 44c | 33.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed QUAZAR | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked QUAZAR | 56c | 29.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked QUAZAR | 56c | 28.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed CSDIILIT | 44c | 25.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked QUAZAR | 68c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked QUAZAR | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed QUAZAR | 68c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed QUAZAR | 74c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs QUAZAR - Map 1 WinnerQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winner CSDIILIT won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.