Other European Leagues · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088b0e0ad9865f7a5a79980fbca096bf102f855308e7a4acaf4e2382a7b33dce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 1,395$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 1,171$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 44c | 886.83$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 600.23$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.11 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 52c | 494.24$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.24 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 393.12$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.34 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 324.03$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 114.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 80.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Under | 74c | 71.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 52c | 60.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Over | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 53c | 52.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 66c | 52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 60c | 23.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Under | 53c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.