Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f5bb0177e815416fdf1fd91f29e38508f5e03c4f1a8483272f591332b102fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trabzonsporof Beşiktaş JK, Trabzonspor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Trabzonspor | 66c | 1,700$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.85 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Beşiktaş JK | 34c | 1,282$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.58 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Trabzonspor | 66c | 648.17$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.38 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beşiktaş JK | 33c | 438.83$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Beşiktaş JK | 34c | 215$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Beşiktaş JK | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Trabzonspor | 70c | 102$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Trabzonspor | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Beşiktaş JK | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Trabzonspor | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Beşiktaş JK | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Beşiktaş JK | 34c | 54.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Beşiktaş JK | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Beşiktaş JK | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Beşiktaş JK | 34c | 40.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Beşiktaş JK | 39c | 36.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked Beşiktaş JK | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 36cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Trabzonspor | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.