Tennis · resolved market
Thionville: Murphy Cassone vs Charles Broom
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x089a528220ad9ceefb3b82daf60dec4efcb23ec41d5c410a04ce8d460e11232a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Murphy Cassoneof Murphy Cassone, Charles Broom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Charles Broom | 6c | 6,049$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Charles Broom | 45c | 1,290$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.89 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Charles Broom | 27c | 1,073$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Charles Broom | 28c | 896.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Charles Broom | 11c | 750$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Murphy Cassone | 60c | 708.16$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Charles Broom | 47c | 620$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Murphy Cassone | 73c | 588.01$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.01 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Charles Broom | 3c | 503.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Murphy Cassone | 62c | 480.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Charles Broom | 44c | 449.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Charles Broom | 46c | 436.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Murphy Cassone | 55c | 432.92$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Murphy Cassone | 56c | 357.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Charles Broom | 32c | 317.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Charles Broom | 46c | 242.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Murphy Cassone | 65c | 237.22$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Charles Broom | 31c | 232.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Charles Broom | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Murphy Cassone | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Murphy Cassone | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Charles Broom | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Murphy Cassone | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Murphy Cassone | 55c | 181.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Murphy Cassone | 55c | 165.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Murphy Cassone | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Murphy Cassone | 77c | 156.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Charles Broom | 21c | 137.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Murphy Cassone | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Charles Broom | 44c | 130.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Charles Broom | 34c | 129.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Murphy Cassone | 76c | 129$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Murphy Cassone | 56c | 124.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Murphy Cassone | 58c | 116.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Charles Broom | 50c | 109.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Charles Broom | 36c | 106.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Murphy Cassone | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Charles Broom | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Murphy Cassone | 79c | 84.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Charles Broom | 39c | 79.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Murphy Cassone | 53c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Murphy Cassone | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Murphy Cassone | 62c | 62.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Murphy Cassone | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Charles Broom | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Murphy Cassone | 77c | 52.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Murphy Cassone | 67c | 50.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…53edbacked Murphy Cassone | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Charles Broom | 36c | 42.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Murphy Cassone | 61c | 36.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Murphy Cassone | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…b344backed Murphy Cassone | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Charles Broom | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Murphy Cassone | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Murphy Cassone | 59c | 25.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Murphy Cassone | 68c | 24.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Murphy Cassone | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Murphy Cassone | 56c | 23.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Murphy Cassone | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…b71ebacked Murphy Cassone | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Murphy Cassone | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Murphy Cassone | 72c | 15.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Murphy Cassone | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.