CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08a36dd9640bea3f2a1d8532a9e0f9c15df752026505cfdafc01f0dcda42653f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, aimclub
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,509 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed aimclub | 18c | 1,249$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed aimclub | 20c | 1,016$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked aimclub | 18c | 999.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed fnatic | 78c | 862.02$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed aimclub | 22c | 838.36$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed fnatic | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked aimclub | 18c | 675.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked aimclub | 4c | 577.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7af9backed aimclub | 19c | 569$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…2bd8backed aimclub | 19c | 545$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2603…90b3backed aimclub | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed aimclub | 6c | 303.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed aimclub | 10c | 273.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed aimclub | 15c | 262.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…62d6backed aimclub | 36c | 229.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…80a7backed aimclub | 13c | 225.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed aimclub | 18c | 212.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed aimclub | 8c | 206.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed aimclub | 14c | 188$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed aimclub | 10c | 173.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed aimclub | 18c | 170$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed aimclub | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked aimclub | 19c | 147.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked aimclub | 18c | 111.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked aimclub | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked aimclub | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…d5f8backed aimclub | 14c | 82.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed aimclub | 15c | 75.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed aimclub | 19c | 74.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed aimclub | 16c | 69.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked aimclub | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed aimclub | 20c | 57.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked fnatic | 80c | 56.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…eeadbacked fnatic | 80c | 56.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed fnatic | 63c | 54.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked fnatic | 58c | 38.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed fnatic | 76c | 36.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…51b7backed aimclub | 33c | 36.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked fnatic | 79c | 29.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed fnatic | 76c | 24.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed fnatic | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked fnatic | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.