CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OG vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08a744e6f7f7501e268080615672059140848898370cad826cdbca1c1865c1cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Rebels Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Rebels Gaming | 39c | 1,015$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.85 | 231 | 54.5%126 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked OG | 63c | 879$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.41 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rebels Gaming | 35c | 719.54$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.78 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked OG | 66c | 427.29$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Rebels Gaming | 34c | 347$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…0b05backed OG | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Rebels Gaming | 40c | 289.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 62c | 287.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Rebels Gaming | 31c | 276.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 1,634 | 43.2%706 W · 928 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked OG | 71c | 255$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rebels Gaming | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 2,536 | 43.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Rebels Gaming | 20c | 217$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rebels Gaming | 11c | 207$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rebels Gaming | 36c | 191.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 2,816 | 37.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L | -138.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed OG | 61c | 190$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked OG | 65c | 173.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 2,244 | 47.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed OG | 71c | 172.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 754 | 54.6%412 W · 342 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed OG | 66c | 156.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rebels Gaming | 23c | 138.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rebels Gaming | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rebels Gaming | 20c | 124$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Rebels Gaming | 44c | 119.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 69c | 100.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rebels Gaming | 31c | 89.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Rebels Gaming | 19c | 84.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed OG | 56c | 83.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 1,335 | 44%588 W · 747 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Rebels Gaming | 39c | 69.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked OG | 66c | 64.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…d6e9backed Rebels Gaming | 34c | 60.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Rebels Gaming | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Rebels Gaming | 25c | 57.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed OG | 61c | 54.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked OG | 80c | 37.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed OG | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rebels Gaming | 30c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,950 | 47.8%932 W · 1,018 L | -50.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 63c | 34.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OG | 65c | 33.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…baeebacked OG | 79c | 27.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked OG | 63c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 687 | 46.9%322 W · 365 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked OG | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked OG | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.