Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x090bc7869606cc12416289b47ea30e68ef365a496ae26dd457c56c8612ed1f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottinghamshireof Nottinghamshire, Warwickshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Warwickshire | 13c | 18,092$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.17 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…0886backed Nottinghamshire | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Warwickshire | 33c | 1,200$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.57 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Warwickshire | 19c | 529$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warwickshire | 12c | 449.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nottinghamshire | 67c | 268$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 188 | 52.1%98 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Nottinghamshire | 58c | 205.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nottinghamshire | 60c | 203$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nottinghamshire | 79c | 199.65$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Warwickshire | 18c | 186.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Warwickshire | 24c | 180.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Nottinghamshire | 72c | 147.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Nottinghamshire | 72c | 141$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 204 | 63.7%130 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nottinghamshire | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Nottinghamshire | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Warwickshire | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Warwickshire | 34c | 98.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Warwickshire | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1a…0e6fbacked Warwickshire | 24c | 79.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Warwickshire | 43c | 78.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Warwickshire | 43c | 76.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nottinghamshire | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Warwickshire | 43c | 69.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Warwickshire | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nottinghamshire | 79c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Warwickshire | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Warwickshire | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Nottinghamshire | 58c | 45.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nottinghamshire | 75c | 43.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Warwickshire | 42c | 38.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Warwickshire | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Nottinghamshire | 79c | 31.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Nottinghamshire | 57c | 27.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Nottinghamshire | 55c | 21.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Nottinghamshire | 55c | 18.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.