CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x091f7f9d96c32de272d53f61ea27e6d244008d043f15158398bee8c55c32ed1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOLHA AMARELAof FOLHA AMARELA, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed FOLHA AMARELA | 49c | 9,240$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.4 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Game Hunters | 43c | 6,699$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.87 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOLHA AMARELA | 58c | 1,267$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.39 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Game Hunters | 10c | 1,071$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Game Hunters | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Game Hunters | 17c | 789.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 785.23$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 1,802 | 59.3%1,069 W · 733 L | +107.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed FOLHA AMARELA | 58c | 750$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Game Hunters | 30c | 270.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed FOLHA AMARELA | 49c | 251.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Game Hunters | 52c | 249.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 58c | 247.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed FOLHA AMARELA | 58c | 233.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed Game Hunters | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed FOLHA AMARELA | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FOLHA AMARELA | 58c | 182$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 110.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Game Hunters | 18c | 108.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Game Hunters | 16c | 93.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed Game Hunters | 22c | 93.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed Game Hunters | 53c | 83.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Game Hunters | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 58c | 71.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Game Hunters | 15c | 70.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed FOLHA AMARELA | 72c | 62.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Game Hunters | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 42c | 60.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 55c | 57.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed Game Hunters | 53c | 56.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Game Hunters | 30c | 52.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Game Hunters | 38c | 52.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed FOLHA AMARELA | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 49c | 45.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOLHA AMARELA | 72c | 45.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 71c | 40.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Game Hunters | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed FOLHA AMARELA | 49c | 37.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 25.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed FOLHA AMARELA | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Game Hunters | 53c | 19.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerFOLHA AMARELA won
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Game Hunters - Map 2 WinnerFOLHA AMARELA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.