MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0946e6f6ceee162ccbe33548b1797e440c88ffdb5b1229071c293d6566f1dd5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 2,501$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.86 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 1,586$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 1,366$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.34 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9960…a699backed Lotte Giants | 62c | 347.38$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 302.21$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 243$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 230.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 40c | 220.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 13c | 197.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 69c | 191.38$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 153$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 148.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 147.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 76c | 127$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc768…d748backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 34c | 88.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 81.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 73.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 63.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 35c | 57.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 69c | 56.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 53.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Samsung Lions | 70c | 50.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 45.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 33.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 25.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 23.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 21.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 19.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 18.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Samsung Lions | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.