TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Asuncion 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Eduardo Ribeiro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eduardo Ribeiroof Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, Eduardo Ribeiro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez22c3,865$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.4611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez38c3,093$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.941,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Eduardo Ribeiro65c1,902$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.9615351%78 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Eduardo Ribeiro61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.341,15841.4%479 W · 679 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez26c799.19$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5357321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez39c725.95$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28343334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez12c704.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.295,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Eduardo Ribeiro79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12648756.5%275 W · 212 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Eduardo Ribeiro74c464.97$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.899,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez13c437.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.614,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Eduardo Ribeiro62c419.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.61,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Eduardo Ribeiro60c326.14$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.387,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Eduardo Ribeiro64c317.86$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4352557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Eduardo Ribeiro64c307.7$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.771,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31d…a83dbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez33c306.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez24c304.54$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.875,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez7c247.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Eduardo Ribeiro63c238.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.343,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Eduardo Ribeiro63c209.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.388,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eduardo Ribeiro77c152.58$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.738,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez26c122.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xe88e…929fbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez36c101.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.592,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Eduardo Ribeiro71c99.48$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.961,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez36c94.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.241,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez21c79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5962727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez27c76.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6612538.4%48 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Eduardo Ribeiro62c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.417,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Eduardo Ribeiro63c56.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2145744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…ba31backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez22c53.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122015%3 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0514…6131backed Eduardo Ribeiro64c51.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.562560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eduardo Ribeiro62c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.17,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155248.1%25 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7454…57f2backed Eduardo Ribeiro64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2520949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Eduardo Ribeiro79c30.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bc…3503backed Eduardo Ribeiro64c27.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8411968.9%82 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Eduardo Ribeiro65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.831,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Eduardo Ribeiro76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Eduardo Ribeiro64c17.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.424,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Eduardo Ribeiro60c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6774646.1%344 W · 402 L-30.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.