Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCF Knights vs. Colorado Buffaloes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a64f7bd0667d893efdea074f83718a54635df20f2427d89c33d6d5b9c2c04bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCF Knightsof UCF Knights, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed UCF Knights | 40c | 1,506$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.68 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 60c | 1,402$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 54c | 626.89$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.09 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCF Knights | 48c | 616.67$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Colorado Buffaloes | 71c | 514.06$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.47 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UCF Knights | 28c | 493.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.03 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights | 47c | 485.24$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.36 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 481$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Colorado Buffaloes | 6c | 365.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Colorado Buffaloes | 61c | 358$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UCF Knights | 61c | 237.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 226.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Colorado Buffaloes | 49c | 191$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Colorado Buffaloes | 42c | 177$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UCF Knights | 56c | 164.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed UCF Knights | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed UCF Knights | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked UCF Knights | 57c | 130.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCF Knights | 37c | 123.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…32ccbacked UCF Knights | 31c | 110.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCF Knights | 65c | 109.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 71c | 109$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UCF Knights | 78c | 90.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado Buffaloes | 60c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UCF Knights | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Colorado Buffaloes | 63c | 63.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UCF Knights | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Colorado Buffaloes | 38c | 47.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed UCF Knights | 54c | 47.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed UCF Knights | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…3867backed UCF Knights | 71c | 42.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed UCF Knights | 29c | 41.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Colorado Buffaloes | 34c | 37.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Colorado Buffaloes | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCF Knights vs. Colorado Buffaloesthis page
- Spread: Colorado Buffaloes (-2.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: Colorado Buffaloes (-3.5)UCF Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.