Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Ryotaro Taguchi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a78e73b65bdaa446c98c26ae33e4c51a77f400d1493f2209fb16180328b62dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ryuki Matsudaof Ryuki Matsuda, Ryotaro Taguchi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 37c | 4,434$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.62 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ryuki Matsuda | 63c | 3,933$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 43c | 656.64$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 61c | 395.6$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.01 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Ryuki Matsuda | 63c | 386.35$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.27 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 5c | 327$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 7c | 238.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 37c | 235.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.99 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Ryuki Matsuda | 43c | 230.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 69c | 190$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 65c | 184$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Ryuki Matsuda | 40c | 155$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Ryuki Matsuda | 63c | 145.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Ryuki Matsuda | 63c | 133.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 38c | 100.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Ryuki Matsuda | 43c | 96.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 25c | 84.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 59c | 84.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Ryuki Matsuda | 41c | 66.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Ryuki Matsuda | 65c | 65.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Ryuki Matsuda | 63c | 63.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ryuki Matsuda | 42c | 62.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ryuki Matsuda | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 44c | 58.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Ryuki Matsuda | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 48c | 39.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 58c | 34.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 63c | 31.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 58c | 30.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 47c | 27.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ryuki Matsuda | 55c | 24.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 45c | 24.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 80c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.