Lol · resolved market
LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a963ee90b98b664b46f1b0e1c7732b8d094a548062e0c54b615d55d91675318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forsakenof DOCISK, Forsaken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2518…254fbacked DOCISK | 29c | 3,894$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.02 | 545 | 55.2%301 W · 244 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed DOCISK | 8c | 998$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 193 | 35.2%68 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked DOCISK | 15c | 991.49$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.16 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Forsaken | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Forsaken | 70c | 839.86$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.96 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed DOCISK | 33c | 600.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 423 | 69.3%293 W · 130 L | +34.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Forsaken | 50c | 333$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 391 | 40.4%158 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Forsaken | 64c | 319.71$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 692 | 59.7%413 W · 279 L | +75.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Forsaken | 68c | 316$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 521 | 49.9%260 W · 261 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Forsaken | 75c | 299$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Forsaken | 45c | 286.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.94 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Forsaken | 70c | 272.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466b…7fd3backed Forsaken | 67c | 270.16$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…e9dbbacked DOCISK | 29c | 250.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Forsaken | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…142dbacked DOCISK | 34c | 176.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed DOCISK | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 356 | 54.8%195 W · 161 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed DOCISK | 12c | 134.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Forsaken | 68c | 128.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Forsaken | 61c | 111.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 209 | 66.5%139 W · 70 L | +29.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed DOCISK | 14c | 103.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…5a08backed Forsaken | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed DOCISK | 24c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 443 | 55.5%246 W · 197 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked DOCISK | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 364 | 58.8%214 W · 150 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked DOCISK | 17c | 90.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,012 | 47%476 W · 536 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Forsaken | 72c | 90.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Forsaken | 74c | 86.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Forsaken | 72c | 66.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Forsaken | 51c | 65.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DOCISK | 25c | 61.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked DOCISK | 39c | 57.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1,082 | 39.5%427 W · 655 L | -78.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…94ecbacked Forsaken | 73c | 54.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed DOCISK | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked DOCISK | 29c | 49.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -52.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed DOCISK | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed DOCISK | 29c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 545 | 45.7%249 W · 296 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Forsaken | 80c | 37.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 424 | 50.5%214 W · 210 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed DOCISK | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 520 | 46%239 W · 281 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed DOCISK | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 280 | 48.6%136 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d3…c2c0backed Forsaken | 79c | 30.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Forsaken | 49c | 30.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 250 | 46%115 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Forsaken | 75c | 30.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Forsaken | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Forsaken | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 213 | 44.6%95 W · 118 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed DOCISK | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Forsaken | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked DOCISK | 49c | 27.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 302 | 53.6%162 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Forsaken | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Forsaken | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Forsaken | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcedf…218cbacked Forsaken | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonDOCISK won
- LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken - Game 2 WinnerDOCISK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.