NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b0c65d8b8a47fe72edb731a04ac4ec71f96dd06a49a216ed5bd1fc7d1c7bf0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Islanders, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 18,899$10,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,315.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Islanders | 43c | 13,079$5,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650.59 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Islanders | 44c | 10,909$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,990$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.59 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Islanders | 33c | 1,454$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.85 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 1c | 1,426$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…7f32backed Islanders | 44c | 1,379$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…7415backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,361$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Islanders | 43c | 1,144$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.99 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Islanders | 22c | 1,111$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Islanders | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…86babacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 1,006$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 949.15$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.15 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Islanders | 43c | 913.95$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 800.15$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.07 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 22c | 614.77$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.62 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 509.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 42c | 466.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Islanders | 44c | 458$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 368.47$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 344.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…55e4backed Islanders | 42c | 332.13$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…8210backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 332.13$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 300.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…54d7backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 248.33$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 229.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 42c | 225$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 199.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 189.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 10c | 188$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders | 42c | 139.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Islanders | 44c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…b7b7backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Islanders | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Islanders | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…9628backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 105.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…bde3backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Islanders | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…adacbacked Islanders | 28c | 90.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 89.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders | 41c | 88.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ec…1af7backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 77.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Islanders | 29c | 73.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…2930backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 72.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…618fbacked Islanders | 42c | 72.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa809…2b3fbacked Islanders | 42c | 71.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd545…2032backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 71.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 68.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 68.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 60.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Islanders | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…b077backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 52.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 51.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…b4b0backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1de…6dc3backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 49.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +163.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…e0bdbacked Islanders | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…38a5backed Islanders | 43c | 48.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…38f8backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 48.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…470ebacked Islanders | 43c | 48.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Islanders | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a60…be29backed Islanders | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2364…99f4backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 45.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 45.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Islanders | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…1261backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…9617backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 40.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Islanders | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…28d7backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 39.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3acb…d9a6backed Islanders | 42c | 39.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef16…00bfbacked Islanders | 42c | 39.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…6e3fbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 39.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…76a6backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 39.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bb…3ef5backed Islanders | 42c | 37.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 37.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c75…c892backed Islanders | 42c | 37.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…1260backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 37.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…0645backed Islanders | 42c | 37.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e2…0120backed Islanders | 39c | 36.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1870…b6b8backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 36.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…a4f6backed Islanders | 41c | 35.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…4bfebacked Islanders | 42c | 35.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.