La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b3137ef8389441eaa3b763b1a9d99648c314ba2616f649c16f05018a33b3310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 501.39$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.43 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 31c | 419.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 379.74$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…4d39backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 4c | 275$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 274.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 269.15$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 70c | 206.41$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 203.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 32c | 157.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 150.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 30c | 131.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 128.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 70c | 74.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 74.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 71c | 73.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…c88fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 31c | 63.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 68c | 48.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 30c | 45.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…a0f6backed No | 72c | 33.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 80c | 29.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed No | 59c | 29.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed No | 70c | 21.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed No | 70c | 18.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 71c | 18.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 18.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 14.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07?Yes won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.