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La Liga · resolved market

Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,447 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c3,835$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.571,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No73c2,020$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.515761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes27c1,852$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.859833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c1,751$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.732,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…2365backed Yes27c1,598$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+146.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc940…4d39backed Yes27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.111952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes27c859$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.078948.3%43 W · 46 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c822.47$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.474949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c821.93$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.0180950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fce…0ccebacked Yes26c800$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5922646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes27c711.11$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.111030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No36c541.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1956035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…ba8bbacked Yes64c535.24$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes79c513$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9922842.5%97 W · 131 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes40c503.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.6629543.1%127 W · 168 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No4c500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184517.8%8 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-74.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes26c450.45$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…1e08backed No74c402.97$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No58c358.31$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.371,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c317.37$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.11,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes26c305$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.728045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Yes65c280$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes57c215.46$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9693345.3%423 W · 510 L-30.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes65c193.41$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.752556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…24c5backed Yes65c172.56$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.44080%32 W · 8 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes27c166.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.671421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c157.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8165652.6%345 W · 311 L-1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.154841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.862650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No11c142.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2315450.6%78 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No72c119$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0822245.5%101 W · 121 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1689…5b28backed Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+156.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5177…a0f6backed No35c108.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No28c106.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013129.8%39 W · 92 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No73c102.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1647749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes60c100.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.613658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739033.3%30 W · 60 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749976.8%76 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea3…d89cbacked Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+86.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab29…dcc4backed Yes27c92.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+177.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1410…7146backed No74c91.23$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No73c87$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5186250.2%433 W · 429 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes73c81.3$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1519740.6%80 W · 117 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes73c80.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0747740.9%195 W · 282 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No37c79.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.184837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e98…5f4ebacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+71.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xace6…e599backed Yes66c72.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.811060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes27c70.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.378441.7%35 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes40c62.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6426241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455942.4%25 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No48c56.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8546024.1%111 W · 349 L-52.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-48%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb2d0…6d4fbacked Yes30c52.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.511840.7%48 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabef…cf4ebacked Yes55c45.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No38c42.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3461048%293 W · 317 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c41.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.354,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb95…bc53backed Yes27c40.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce68…b661backed Yes26c40.31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.83922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked No74c40.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.772373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes30c35.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes56c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.561687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes77c25.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.762070%14 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No74c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45ba…7786backed Yes66c22.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.72366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked No74c22.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No74c19.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2314759.2%87 W · 60 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No74c17.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.112653.2%67 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a4c…189bbacked Yes77c16.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c15.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.381,65851.7%858 W · 800 L-6.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No67c15.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1511953.8%64 W · 55 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5235…24b8backed No75c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdb…8a82backed Yes79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26cd…2c85backed Yes69c14.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No73c13.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104065%26 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.