Tennis · resolved market
Plovdiv: Thomas Fancutt vs Mathys Erhard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b502b38427cf97821f7feedde9bcfedee9520ed77149edcc796a109cbf93b5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mathys Erhardof Thomas Fancutt, Mathys Erhard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Mathys Erhard | 58c | 10,156$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.84 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thomas Fancutt | 40c | 4,672$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mathys Erhard | 75c | 3,793$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.36 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mathys Erhard | 55c | 2,775$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Thomas Fancutt | 25c | 2,000$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Mathys Erhard | 74c | 997.33$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thomas Fancutt | 45c | 988.26$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.32 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Thomas Fancutt | 3c | 959.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mathys Erhard | 80c | 569.52$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Thomas Fancutt | 18c | 550.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Thomas Fancutt | 26c | 548$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Mathys Erhard | 69c | 459.84$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.39 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Thomas Fancutt | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8623…34a6backed Thomas Fancutt | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Mathys Erhard | 53c | 405.47$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mathys Erhard | 73c | 384$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Thomas Fancutt | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Thomas Fancutt | 63c | 328$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Thomas Fancutt | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Mathys Erhard | 74c | 291.43$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Thomas Fancutt | 16c | 281.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Thomas Fancutt | 27c | 244.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…360cbacked Thomas Fancutt | 41c | 229.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Mathys Erhard | 59c | 219.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Thomas Fancutt | 26c | 209.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Thomas Fancutt | 25c | 205$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Thomas Fancutt | 24c | 204.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Mathys Erhard | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Mathys Erhard | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Thomas Fancutt | 42c | 181.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Thomas Fancutt | 28c | 163.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Thomas Fancutt | 16c | 145.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Thomas Fancutt | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…a06dbacked Mathys Erhard | 56c | 125.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Thomas Fancutt | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Thomas Fancutt | 27c | 118.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mathys Erhard | 58c | 118.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Thomas Fancutt | 9c | 116.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Thomas Fancutt | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Mathys Erhard | 76c | 103$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Thomas Fancutt | 43c | 95.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Mathys Erhard | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Mathys Erhard | 57c | 79.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Thomas Fancutt | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Thomas Fancutt | 24c | 74.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Mathys Erhard | 69c | 68.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Mathys Erhard | 77c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Thomas Fancutt | 61c | 61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Mathys Erhard | 57c | 55.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Thomas Fancutt | 27c | 51.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Mathys Erhard | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Thomas Fancutt | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Thomas Fancutt | 28c | 48.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Mathys Erhard | 56c | 48.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mathys Erhard | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Mathys Erhard | 68c | 42.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Thomas Fancutt | 32c | 40.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Mathys Erhard | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Mathys Erhard | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Mathys Erhard | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Mathys Erhard | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Mathys Erhard | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Mathys Erhard | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Thomas Fancutt | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mathys Erhard | 70c | 30.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Thomas Fancutt | 38c | 29.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Mathys Erhard | 71c | 27.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Mathys Erhard | 57c | 26.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Mathys Erhard | 63c | 23.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Mathys Erhard | 63c | 21.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Mathys Erhard | 56c | 20.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Mathys Erhard | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Mathys Erhard | 57c | 19.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.