Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5a6e64150afd9ebc0ccfb405d12367f2a6c2066bb28c20b2b010d6f8931729
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 69c | 5,589$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.93 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 28c | 3,088$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.01 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 2,642$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…b4c2backed Under | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 1,347$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.11 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…bed9backed Under | 26c | 1,279$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 1,264$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.01 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44b…4ed6backed Under | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a75…258abacked Under | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 74c | 1,014$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 113 | 68.1%77 W · 36 L | +15.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 74c | 1,014$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 128 | 73.4%94 W · 34 L | +19.8wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 74c | 1,014$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 81 | 76.5%62 W · 19 L | +13.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…efc9backed Under | 26c | 865.37$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 74c | 675.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.62 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 658.91$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.97 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Over | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 68c | 466$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.88 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 423.69$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 74c | 348$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 137 | 67.2%92 W · 45 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4353…86febacked Under | 14c | 303$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 291.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…9f44backed Under | 68c | 260.07$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 74c | 137.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 74c | 137.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Over | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 19c | 92.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…cf9ebacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 57.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 54.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 32c | 41.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 45c | 39.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 32c | 39.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 65c | 28.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 78c | 22.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Under | 68c | 17.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…4a90backed Over | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 3.5this page
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: Team to AdvanceFK Borac Banja Luka won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-1.5)FK Borac Banja Luka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.