Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedcaee9d58e456b39cc43f0ff86a05b7e54eba3091fc4e6dcad4a2e02af2c4c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 39c | 2,034$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.83 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 56c | 1,468$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.39 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 67c | 839.54$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…9f44backed Under | 45c | 741.9$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 462.8$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.94 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 63c | 160.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 56c | 154.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 109.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0c…10f2backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 105.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 100.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 55c | 86.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 251 | 49.4%124 W · 127 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 63c | 57.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 44c | 36.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…cdadbacked Over | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed Over | 56c | 18.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 68c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 442 | 51.6%228 W · 214 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: Team to AdvanceFK Borac Banja Luka won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-1.5)FK Borac Banja Luka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.