Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Austria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b691c4f21893816b85e83f39f8f340e78d5aced21268d0b27fffbacd39cbb7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austriaof Croatia, Austria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Croatia | 20c | 1,344$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.93 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Croatia | 43c | 819.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.65 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Croatia | 31c | 466.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.86 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Croatia | 25c | 453.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Croatia | 22c | 225.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Croatia | 17c | 169.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Croatia | 13c | 161.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Croatia | 10c | 140.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Austria | 73c | 121.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Croatia | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…46c6backed Croatia | 33c | 112.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…641fbacked Croatia | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Croatia | 18c | 103.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Austria | 71c | 98.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Croatia | 28c | 93.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Austria | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Austria | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Croatia | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Croatia | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…47cebacked Croatia | 30c | 56.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Croatia | 29c | 53.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Croatia | 30c | 53.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Austria | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Croatia | 29c | 44.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Croatia | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Austria | 71c | 42.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Austria | 75c | 41.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Austria | 70c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Austria | 41c | 34.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Austria | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Austria | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Austria | 66c | 24.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Austria | 62c | 16.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Austria | 68c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Austria | 68c | 15.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.