Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Diane Parry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b6c16f05e8b0ba9a1e1bd6b7a3769571e0f5c3b593e473d5048532a6c8756f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diane Parryof Elizabeth Mandlik, Diane Parry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 47c | 3,125$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.16 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Diane Parry | 61c | 2,501$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.56 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Diane Parry | 62c | 1,003$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.14 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 26c | 997$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.26 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 16c | 950$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Diane Parry | 53c | 888.88$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.18 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 40c | 737.42$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.33 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 37c | 440.54$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Diane Parry | 66c | 378.64$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 7c | 371.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Diane Parry | 75c | 369.77$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Diane Parry | 73c | 329.25$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Diane Parry | 61c | 245.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 39c | 245.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 45c | 222.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 41c | 205$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 23c | 203.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…3004backed Diane Parry | 61c | 203$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 21c | 195.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Diane Parry | 61c | 153.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 29c | 135.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Diane Parry | 61c | 129.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 40c | 123.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 38c | 115$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 40c | 114.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 17c | 109.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Diane Parry | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Diane Parry | 60c | 80.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Diane Parry | 62c | 79.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 30c | 73.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Diane Parry | 60c | 62.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 25c | 59.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 32c | 55.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 37c | 54.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Diane Parry | 66c | 48.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 78 | 75.6%59 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Diane Parry | 65c | 47.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Diane Parry | 63c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 32c | 40.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 42c | 37.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Diane Parry | 80c | 30.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 41c | 25.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Diane Parry | 59c | 23.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Diane Parrythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mandlik vs ParryParry won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.