Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste: Viola Turini vs Sabine Rutlauka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bd1edd5aedad8060f5f55be3e88e08ae453cb867dadc71f1a40e0672a13441a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Viola Turiniof Viola Turini, Sabine Rutlauka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Viola Turini | 78c | 3,673$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.36 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Sabine Rutlauka | 21c | 2,322$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.16 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabine Rutlauka | 7c | 1,703$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Sabine Rutlauka | 15c | 1,579$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sabine Rutlauka | 7c | 928.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Viola Turini | 68c | 610.15$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sabine Rutlauka | 5c | 602.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Viola Turini | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Sabine Rutlauka | 32c | 436.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabine Rutlauka | 24c | 413.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Viola Turini | 72c | 371.7$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sabine Rutlauka | 34c | 353.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sabine Rutlauka | 33c | 311.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…c481backed Viola Turini | 65c | 270$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Viola Turini | 66c | 249.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Viola Turini | 69c | 176.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Sabine Rutlauka | 38c | 149.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Viola Turini | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Viola Turini | 67c | 138.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Sabine Rutlauka | 14c | 137.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sabine Rutlauka | 25c | 137.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sabine Rutlauka | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Sabine Rutlauka | 32c | 123.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sabine Rutlauka | 24c | 120.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Viola Turini | 67c | 102.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sabine Rutlauka | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Viola Turini | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Sabine Rutlauka | 22c | 83.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…7c0bbacked Viola Turini | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Viola Turini | 75c | 53.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sabine Rutlauka | 21c | 47.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…3579backed Sabine Rutlauka | 31c | 38.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Viola Turini | 73c | 32.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Viola Turini | 69c | 30.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Sabine Rutlauka | 36c | 30.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Viola Turini | 73c | 27.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Viola Turini | 63c | 22.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…abeebacked Viola Turini | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Viola Turini | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Viola Turini | 74c | 14.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.