Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UAB vs. St. Joseph's
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4066d7fb918434c027c93c8a9163b7016e6e2a12aeb68c4784737a2ae747fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UABof UAB, St. Joseph's
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed St. Joseph's | 64c | 42,422$27,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,150.08 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed UAB | 36c | 35,740$12,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,873.88 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed UAB | 34c | 12,439$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked St. Joseph's | 66c | 4,393$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.16 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed St. Joseph's | 70c | 4,239$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed UAB | 36c | 3,433$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.23 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed St. Joseph's | 69c | 2,084$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.17 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UAB | 31c | 800$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UAB | 30c | 670.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.3 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked UAB | 31c | 319.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.79 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed St. Joseph's | 71c | 194.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked St. Joseph's | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed St. Joseph's | 67c | 120.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked UAB | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed UAB | 32c | 78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…4652backed UAB | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed St. Joseph's | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.