Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ball State Cardinals vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4776fc5d69dbe81c4b2f37c340856203bc2907326d790cec8567dfbf166d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ball State Cardinalsof Ball State Cardinals, Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ball State Cardinals | 65c | 837$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 3c | 672.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 14c | 604.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 35c | 499.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 15c | 257.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 17c | 204.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 35c | 202.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 37c | 113$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 34c | 75.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 37c | 75.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Ball State Cardinals | 66c | 72.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 20c | 71.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 34c | 36.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Ball State Cardinals | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Ball State Cardinals | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Ball State Cardinals | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Ball State Cardinals | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Ball State Cardinals | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Ball State Cardinals | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawksthis page
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 140.5Over won
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 141.5Under won
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Ball State Cardinals (-3.5)Ball State Cardinals won
- Spread: Ball State Cardinals (-4.5)Ball State Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.