Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Carolina Xavier Laydner vs Helena Bueno
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4a243d9da5647914d83f1c727ef39913a2f536713d1481d9d694c766b3788e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carolina Xavier Laydnerof Carolina Xavier Laydner, Helena Bueno
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Helena Bueno | 29c | 36,823$10,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,821.3 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carolina Xavier Laydner | 70c | 31,196$21,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,270.21 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carolina Xavier Laydner | 67c | 6,091$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.02 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Carolina Xavier Laydner | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Carolina Xavier Laydner | 68c | 563.95$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Helena Bueno | 32c | 535.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.57 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Helena Bueno | 26c | 456.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carolina Xavier Laydner | 73c | 423$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Helena Bueno | 26c | 408.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Carolina Xavier Laydner | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Helena Bueno | 24c | 258.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Helena Bueno | 31c | 216.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Helena Bueno | 34c | 183.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Helena Bueno | 62c | 171.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Carolina Xavier Laydner | 66c | 170.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Helena Bueno | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Helena Bueno | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Helena Bueno | 14c | 168$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Helena Bueno | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Helena Bueno | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Carolina Xavier Laydner | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Helena Bueno | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Helena Bueno | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carolina Xavier Laydner | 74c | 128$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Helena Bueno | 36c | 97.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Carolina Xavier Laydner | 68c | 96.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Helena Bueno | 30c | 92.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Helena Bueno | 30c | 75.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Carolina Xavier Laydner | 76c | 58.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Helena Bueno | 30c | 55.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Carolina Xavier Laydner | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Carolina Xavier Laydner | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Carolina Xavier Laydner | 68c | 36.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 244 | 60.2%147 W · 97 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Helena Bueno | 71c | 34.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 171 | 71.3%122 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Carolina Xavier Laydner | 68c | 26.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Carolina Xavier Laydner | 69c | 23.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…83a6backed Carolina Xavier Laydner | 75c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Carolina Xavier Laydner | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Carolina Xavier Laydner | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Carolina Xavier Laydner | 70c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.