Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Matthew Dellavedova vs Shinji Hazawa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c55e1d0d51bf1a3ca76c80fa9c8e9099f909372490ccfc46f39456619e5d4e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Dellavedovaof Matthew Dellavedova, Shinji Hazawa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matthew Dellavedova | 65c | 12,776$8,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Shinji Hazawa | 39c | 3,769$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.57 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Shinji Hazawa | 37c | 2,710$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Shinji Hazawa | 18c | 2,640$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.78 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Shinji Hazawa | 39c | 2,613$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.61 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shinji Hazawa | 43c | 1,218$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.45 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 60c | 960$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.25 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Shinji Hazawa | 51c | 597.98$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.97 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Matthew Dellavedova | 67c | 509.13$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Shinji Hazawa | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Shinji Hazawa | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Shinji Hazawa | 40c | 350.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 67c | 344.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Matthew Dellavedova | 64c | 309.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Shinji Hazawa | 38c | 301.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Shinji Hazawa | 34c | 245.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Shinji Hazawa | 13c | 208.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Shinji Hazawa | 51c | 177.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Matthew Dellavedova | 56c | 164.47$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthew Dellavedova | 70c | 154.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 68c | 136.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Shinji Hazawa | 16c | 133.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 66c | 124.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Matthew Dellavedova | 58c | 117.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shinji Hazawa | 41c | 110.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Shinji Hazawa | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…812bbacked Shinji Hazawa | 20c | 97.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Shinji Hazawa | 40c | 93.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…9591backed Shinji Hazawa | 49c | 89.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Shinji Hazawa | 53c | 89.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Matthew Dellavedova | 47c | 89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Matthew Dellavedova | 69c | 85.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Matthew Dellavedova | 79c | 82.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shinji Hazawa | 39c | 81.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Shinji Hazawa | 30c | 77.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Matthew Dellavedova | 66c | 75.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed Matthew Dellavedova | 76c | 70.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shinji Hazawa | 22c | 69.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Shinji Hazawa | 33c | 60.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Shinji Hazawa | 32c | 57.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Shinji Hazawa | 41c | 56.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Shinji Hazawa | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…8244backed Matthew Dellavedova | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Shinji Hazawa | 39c | 32.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Matthew Dellavedova | 59c | 21.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Shinji Hazawa | 55c | 18.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Matthew Dellavedova | 60c | 17.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…456cbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 68c | 16.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…321bbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 67c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Matthew Dellavedova vs Shinji Hazawathis page
- ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Completed Match: Matthew Dellavedova vs Shinji HazawaYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.