Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Daniel Salazar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c688fc0354d08c2355ae4f645a6fa49d8c79864245164f96bdd0ea937f0198b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Salazarof Juan Sebastian Osorio, Daniel Salazar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,204 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Daniel Salazar | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.29 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 32c | 1,085$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.2 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 22c | 909.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Salazar | 78c | 895.8$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 41c | 672.92$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.38 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 48c | 588.86$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 24c | 556.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 21c | 345$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 45c | 340.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Daniel Salazar | 59c | 324.77$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…92d8backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Daniel Salazar | 55c | 262.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Daniel Salazar | 53c | 248.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 40c | 240.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Daniel Salazar | 51c | 213$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 21c | 199.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 45c | 193.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 49c | 181$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 32c | 163.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 23c | 140.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…3f8dbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 13c | 112.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Daniel Salazar | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Daniel Salazar | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…73debacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 25c | 56.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Daniel Salazar | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286a…ac60backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 24c | 55.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 35c | 50.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Daniel Salazar | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Daniel Salazar | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Daniel Salazar | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Daniel Salazar | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 476 | 53.2%253 W · 223 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929f…9884backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Daniel Salazar | 50c | 37.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Daniel Salazar | 52c | 31.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Daniel Salazar | 54c | 30.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Daniel Salazar | 54c | 25.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…a884backed Daniel Salazar | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Daniel Salazar | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…224cbacked Daniel Salazar | 80c | 16.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.