TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,693 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over71c319.39$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.062,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under29c263.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.722,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under9c222$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.985455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under42c208.73$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4746044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c190.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.177,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c158.93$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.755,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over69c145.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.482487.5%21 W · 3 L+7.9wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+55.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over71c141.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0613662.5%85 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under28c139.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3926051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278570.6%60 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under29c78.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7611837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over60c54.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.813551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over69c39.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.147470.3%52 W · 22 L+14.0wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1b6a…6e97backed Under32c33.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over60c28.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4264842%272 W · 376 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over74c21.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.596266.1%41 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c19.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.