TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c1,310$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.727,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c1,187$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.362,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Over45c1,165$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.971464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under11c1,158$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3425641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf163…5bf6backed Under55c1,059$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over54c1,026$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.4887745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over49c1,011$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.392,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c869.17$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.345,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Under50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3756144.3%27 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+74.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over48c723.79$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.379846.9%46 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under37c239.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9723347.2%110 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c231.74$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.381,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under53c225.17$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3417460.3%105 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over52c192.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5718248.4%88 W · 94 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Under51c192.49$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.047967.1%53 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8718…ff8cbacked Over47c181.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under45c160.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4923747.7%113 W · 124 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under28c146.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.619729.9%59 W · 138 L-21.8wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014339.2%56 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under49c139.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8926051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c138.11$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0677350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over39c121$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.413551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c114.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.672,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over47c105.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.312487.5%21 W · 3 L+7.9wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+55.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over77c104.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2971533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c102.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3173440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477470.3%52 W · 22 L+14.0wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under64c88.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.981566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c88.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.422,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.243060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over37c84.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9823346.8%109 W · 124 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba9…2210backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c83.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.332,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over43c75.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0121953.4%117 W · 102 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3170…ec92backed Over47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over48c68.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.739158.2%53 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under56c67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.521154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under60c56.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.637145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under63c56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0911545.2%52 W · 63 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under48c54.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1510753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over51c46.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+132%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over48c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7943721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over70c39.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.849954.5%54 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under50c39.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5811837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd428…ebc1backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c31.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.592,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Under64c31.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%9 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2481…878dbacked Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.