TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Keydof R2 Esports Club, Keyd
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x949e…20afbacked R2 Esports Club20c669$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3543237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked R2 Esports Club22c637.85$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.331,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd78c633.55$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.385,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed R2 Esports Club9c446.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.245,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed R2 Esports Club5c302$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.712,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed R2 Esports Club6c213.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2610725.2%27 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed R2 Esports Club5c205$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.526,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Keyd73c204.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.781,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked R2 Esports Club18c176.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8916344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Keyd73c157.55$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.371,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Keyd71c125$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.251,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked R2 Esports Club27c96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.924,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd73c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.362,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf342…3bcabacked R2 Esports Club23c57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed R2 Esports Club28c44.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.392,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.