CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69ef19884c1ebf37cb4e410ee2ab606e143136278dd619c1c905bad57e670ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof R2 Esports Club, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed R2 Esports Club | 21c | 2,616$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.77 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked R2 Esports Club | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd | 74c | 2,332$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.03 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Keyd | 69c | 1,915$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.99 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed R2 Esports Club | 15c | 1,691$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed R2 Esports Club | 14c | 922.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd | 78c | 800$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.21 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed R2 Esports Club | 14c | 700.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed R2 Esports Club | 15c | 606.02$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked R2 Esports Club | 17c | 600$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed R2 Esports Club | 23c | 591.62$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed R2 Esports Club | 16c | 576.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed R2 Esports Club | 13c | 573.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked R2 Esports Club | 35c | 520.15$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked R2 Esports Club | 12c | 511$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed R2 Esports Club | 9c | 452.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed R2 Esports Club | 5c | 309$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked R2 Esports Club | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed R2 Esports Club | 16c | 294.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed R2 Esports Club | 13c | 258.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Keyd | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed R2 Esports Club | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked R2 Esports Club | 14c | 243.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…e71ebacked R2 Esports Club | 11c | 237.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed R2 Esports Club | 26c | 211$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked R2 Esports Club | 29c | 194.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed R2 Esports Club | 35c | 163$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked R2 Esports Club | 16c | 154.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed R2 Esports Club | 9c | 150.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…17cfbacked R2 Esports Club | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed R2 Esports Club | 15c | 127.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked R2 Esports Club | 31c | 116.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Keyd | 73c | 110.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked R2 Esports Club | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked R2 Esports Club | 14c | 102.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed R2 Esports Club | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Keyd | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed R2 Esports Club | 19c | 64.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Keyd | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked R2 Esports Club | 18c | 60.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed R2 Esports Club | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Keyd | 78c | 46.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Keyd | 70c | 33.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Keyd | 71c | 25.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed Keyd | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bd45backed Keyd | 69c | 17.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.