CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c800cbb200b84462f0ba051b3b610fda52b604726993b3464d8b49456867e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof R2 Esports Club, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Keyd | 68c | 3,231$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.45 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Keyd | 50c | 800.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.6 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked R2 Esports Club | 38c | 769.65$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed R2 Esports Club | 43c | 698.46$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.08 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd | 68c | 607.79$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed R2 Esports Club | 48c | 508.93$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.73 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked R2 Esports Club | 41c | 466.58$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed R2 Esports Club | 46c | 414$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Keyd | 48c | 385.91$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.83 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 64c | 372.46$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 55c | 365.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Keyd | 71c | 306.54$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 63c | 280.19$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keyd | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Keyd | 62c | 236.21$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed R2 Esports Club | 49c | 233$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 55c | 230.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Keyd | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 72c | 182.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Keyd | 66c | 163.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed R2 Esports Club | 61c | 121$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Keyd | 75c | 118.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed R2 Esports Club | 30c | 107.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…8730backed R2 Esports Club | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Keyd | 59c | 84.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Keyd | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed R2 Esports Club | 42c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed R2 Esports Club | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Keyd | 60c | 58.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Keyd | 75c | 58.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed R2 Esports Club | 37c | 50.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed R2 Esports Club | 46c | 30.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…62b2backed R2 Esports Club | 50c | 24.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Keyd | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group StageKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.