Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tarvisio: Katerina Tsygourova vs Federica Urgesi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d09e3a9d031b752ee8288b133c56d3f6519227cc22ac1b00e0aac2ef7b05314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katerina Tsygourovaof Katerina Tsygourova, Federica Urgesi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federica Urgesi | 4c | 4,330$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Federica Urgesi | 60c | 4,284$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Katerina Tsygourova | 40c | 1,617$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.32 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Katerina Tsygourova | 41c | 651$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.66 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Katerina Tsygourova | 41c | 636.83$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.7 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Katerina Tsygourova | 45c | 377.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Federica Urgesi | 56c | 322.89$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.35 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Katerina Tsygourova | 42c | 292.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.72 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Katerina Tsygourova | 40c | 252.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Katerina Tsygourova | 37c | 229.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Katerina Tsygourova | 40c | 202$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Federica Urgesi | 56c | 169.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Federica Urgesi | 42c | 159$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Katerina Tsygourova | 41c | 139.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Katerina Tsygourova | 40c | 117$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Federica Urgesi | 61c | 98.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 30c | 96.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 33c | 81.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Katerina Tsygourova | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Federica Urgesi | 66c | 55.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Katerina Tsygourova | 29c | 50.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Katerina Tsygourova | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Federica Urgesi | 68c | 39.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Katerina Tsygourova | 41c | 30.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Federica Urgesi | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Federica Urgesi | 63c | 22.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Federica Urgesi | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 51c | 20.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Federica Urgesi | 57c | 19.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.