Tennis · resolved market
ITF Palma Del Rio: Cayetana Gay vs Carolyn Ansari
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1c45e4790a04a0195faa47fa1dc1c60968f249ef127e86a9b010c4042dcb71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carolyn Ansariof Cayetana Gay, Carolyn Ansari
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cayetana Gay | 19c | 11,322$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carolyn Ansari | 80c | 6,951$5,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.73 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Cayetana Gay | 27c | 1,225$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.47 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Cayetana Gay | 6c | 1,100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Carolyn Ansari | 57c | 892.26$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.41 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Carolyn Ansari | 58c | 768.45$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.09 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Cayetana Gay | 23c | 680.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cayetana Gay | 11c | 581.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Cayetana Gay | 25c | 567.45$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Cayetana Gay | 26c | 518$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.71 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Cayetana Gay | 24c | 508.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Cayetana Gay | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Cayetana Gay | 19c | 477.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Cayetana Gay | 9c | 392.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Cayetana Gay | 23c | 350$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Cayetana Gay | 24c | 338.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cayetana Gay | 27c | 273.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Cayetana Gay | 12c | 239.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Cayetana Gay | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Carolyn Ansari | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Cayetana Gay | 11c | 170.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Carolyn Ansari | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Cayetana Gay | 26c | 161$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carolyn Ansari | 80c | 159$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carolyn Ansari | 79c | 149.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cayetana Gay | 9c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Cayetana Gay | 12c | 118.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Carolyn Ansari | 62c | 113.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Cayetana Gay | 32c | 97.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Carolyn Ansari | 79c | 69.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Carolyn Ansari | 56c | 56.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Carolyn Ansari | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Carolyn Ansari | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Carolyn Ansari | 80c | 40.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Carolyn Ansari | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Carolyn Ansari | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Cayetana Gay | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Carolyn Ansari | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.