Tennis · resolved market
Milan: Pierluigi Basile vs Marco Cecchinato
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d395aca2233ef0543681a7a131876a8d4e36d76e4ffb881867a5760f322a730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marco Cecchinatoof Pierluigi Basile, Marco Cecchinato
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pierluigi Basile | 2c | 11,544$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.14 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Pierluigi Basile | 35c | 1,569$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pierluigi Basile | 35c | 1,448$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.88 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…9b44backed Pierluigi Basile | 35c | 519.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.79 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 398.56$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Pierluigi Basile | 36c | 388.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 364.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marco Cecchinato | 65c | 323$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 314.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Pierluigi Basile | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pierluigi Basile | 19c | 242.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Pierluigi Basile | 36c | 217.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Marco Cecchinato | 68c | 217.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Marco Cecchinato | 68c | 216.84$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 198.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Pierluigi Basile | 35c | 169$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marco Cecchinato | 68c | 151.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Pierluigi Basile | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…93a5backed Pierluigi Basile | 35c | 134.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Marco Cecchinato | 67c | 119.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 117.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Marco Cecchinato | 69c | 115.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Marco Cecchinato | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pierluigi Basile | 14c | 104.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Marco Cecchinato | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Pierluigi Basile | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 78.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…d2e7backed Pierluigi Basile | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Pierluigi Basile | 36c | 69.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Pierluigi Basile | 26c | 62.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d7…e1f8backed Marco Cecchinato | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…511cbacked Marco Cecchinato | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Pierluigi Basile | 37c | 47.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…805abacked Marco Cecchinato | 65c | 46.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Marco Cecchinato | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…b431backed Marco Cecchinato | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Pierluigi Basile | 31c | 45.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…7727backed Marco Cecchinato | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f41…6c98backed Marco Cecchinato | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Marco Cecchinato | 65c | 35.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Pierluigi Basile | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…b51ebacked Marco Cecchinato | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Marco Cecchinato | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…4d77backed Marco Cecchinato | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Marco Cecchinato | 65c | 26.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Marco Cecchinato | 75c | 22.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Marco Cecchinato | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Marco Cecchinato | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Marco Cecchinato | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Marco Cecchinato | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milan: Pierluigi Basile vs Marco Cecchinatothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Basile vs CecchinatoCecchinato won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.