Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Patrick Kypson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d51f20ebf045ced3159b32522fb944a2e7065ee30244ac99d886a9c6acd472f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taylor Fritzof Taylor Fritz, Patrick Kypson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Patrick Kypson | 7c | 25,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Patrick Kypson | 6c | 19,086$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.81 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Patrick Kypson | 6c | 9,286$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Patrick Kypson | 1c | 7,507$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Patrick Kypson | 6c | 5,097$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.81 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Patrick Kypson | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Patrick Kypson | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Patrick Kypson | 8c | 3,297$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Patrick Kypson | 2c | 2,534$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Patrick Kypson | 7c | 1,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Patrick Kypson | 6c | 1,714$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patrick Kypson | 1c | 1,451$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Patrick Kypson | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Patrick Kypson | 6c | 1,136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Patrick Kypson | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Patrick Kypson | 8c | 998$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Patrick Kypson | 2c | 889.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Patrick Kypson | 3c | 749.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…c400backed Patrick Kypson | 2c | 591.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Patrick Kypson | 6c | 540$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Patrick Kypson | 6c | 386.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Patrick Kypson | 7c | 286$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Patrick Kypson | 6c | 225.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Patrick Kypson | 7c | 165.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Patrick Kypson | 7c | 144.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Patrick Kypsonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs KypsonFritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Kypson (+1.5)Fritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Kypson (+2.5)Fritz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.