Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Braden Shick vs Andres Andrade
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d5a45a22e17ba21a53bbe0fd2141ad3da6ce067c9af5eaed8f7568ce3a463f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Braden Shickof Braden Shick, Andres Andrade
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Andres Andrade | 4c | 4,913$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Braden Shick | 50c | 1,426$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.84 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Andres Andrade | 2c | 1,344$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Andres Andrade | 50c | 772.88$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.44 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Braden Shick | 75c | 550.21$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andres Andrade | 6c | 365$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Braden Shick | 49c | 282$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.72 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Andres Andrade | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Braden Shick | 73c | 223.21$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Andres Andrade | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Braden Shick | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Andres Andrade | 45c | 90.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Andres Andrade | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…bf96backed Andres Andrade | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78f3…303abacked Andres Andrade | 25c | 57.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Andres Andrade | 49c | 55.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Andres Andrade | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Braden Shick | 70c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Andres Andrade | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Braden Shick | 51c | 41.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Braden Shick | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Andres Andrade | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Braden Shick | 54c | 37.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Andres Andrade | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Braden Shick | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Braden Shick | 44c | 28.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Braden Shick | 74c | 24.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Andres Andrade | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Andres Andrade | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.