MLB · resolved market
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d611353d60a8118c16309af5703130a3c542fb306767e019cbaaee6962d5c1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Colorado Rockies, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 2,226$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.08 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 1,916$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.91 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 1,786$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.77 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 29c | 851.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.56 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 576.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 28c | 413.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…5a65backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 300.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 272.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 259.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 167.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 143.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 142.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 110.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 98.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 98.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 89.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 88.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Colorado Rockies | 27c | 85.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Colorado Rockies | 25c | 83.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 63.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 54.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Colorado Rockies | 31c | 42.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 34.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 30.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 28.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 24.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 4.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.