MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11dc5212018edbe1ebc05c3878ffc083fed300d601f3930e3215684ea5d153f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 273,538$128,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,562.7 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Over | 53c | 242,561$128,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,003.66 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 16,707$8,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,030.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 9,269$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.47 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 9,150$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 6,927$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.57 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 2,667$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.7 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 8c | 1,851$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 48c | 1,726$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.34 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 40c | 1,323$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.03 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 33c | 1,176$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 53c | 940.01$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.81 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 908.61$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 599.9$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Over | 54c | 565.49$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.13 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 54c | 423.3$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.72 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 53c | 398.06$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…ae3bbacked Over | 54c | 377.94$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 53c | 341.39$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 54c | 294.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 49c | 280$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 244.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 199.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 10c | 192.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 148.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 70c | 113.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…2d82backed Over | 54c | 107.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 42c | 90.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Under | 76c | 69.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -15.4wins | -0.25per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Under | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 53c | 46.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…50bcbacked Over | 54c | 44.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 53c | 42.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Over | 54c | 41.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 51c | 40.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…1719backed Over | 54c | 36.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 36c | 33.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…a3b6backed Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 54c | 31.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 53c | 28.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…6236backed Over | 53c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 49c | 28.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 61c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 53c | 23.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Under | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 21.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…4582backed Over | 54c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 54c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Over | 54c | 18.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 4.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.