CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e2349710ff0957b09eb43ce24a311a1d6b2b91377d65c1b948204a6bc1c2ae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galorysof Fluxo W7M, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Galorys | 34c | 1,700$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.99 | 769 | 45.3%348 W · 421 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M | 75c | 1,405$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.73 | 2,137 | 42%897 W · 1,240 L | -48.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Fluxo W7M | 66c | 1,042$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.69 | 2,561 | 43.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Galorys | 74c | 317$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 196 | 60.2%118 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…77b9backed Galorys | 26c | 313.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e3…f30abacked Galorys | 33c | 302.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Fluxo W7M | 53c | 271.36$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M | 64c | 250.47$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Galorys | 17c | 166$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Galorys | 23c | 162.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 227 | 49.8%113 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Galorys | 18c | 151$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Galorys | 27c | 132$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Galorys | 72c | 119.9$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Galorys | 21c | 115$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Fluxo W7M | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Fluxo W7M | 47c | 97.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 274 | 42.7%117 W · 157 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Fluxo W7M | 51c | 93.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 239 | 35.6%85 W · 154 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 93.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Galorys | 74c | 76.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fluxo W7M | 64c | 65.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ab…8e3abacked Galorys | 54c | 54.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Galorys | 29c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Fluxo W7M | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Galorys | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Galorys | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Fluxo W7M | 64c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fluxo W7M | 69c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 38.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Fluxo W7M | 75c | 30.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 197 | 67.5%133 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnerGalorys won
- Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)Galorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.