CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd7c1857b9aea10175259cde5b785f00395d61eb360358e36d43aa00b7c53a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galorysof Fluxo W7M, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a46…2482backed Fluxo W7M | 1c | 3,785$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…3dddbacked Fluxo W7M | 47c | 3,305$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Galorys | 51c | 2,100$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.45 | 769 | 45.3%348 W · 421 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Galorys | 55c | 2,027$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.27 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 759.97$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.82 | 2,137 | 42%897 W · 1,240 L | -48.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Galorys | 79c | 596.83$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Galorys | 52c | 596$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.78 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fluxo W7M | 38c | 561.05$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.62 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Galorys | 71c | 555$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 2,561 | 43.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Fluxo W7M | 52c | 464.75$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.67 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Fluxo W7M | 52c | 464.75$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.67 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e3…f30abacked Galorys | 36c | 417.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Galorys | 21c | 365.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.04 | 628 | 38.2%240 W · 388 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Fluxo W7M | 46c | 308.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…6731backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Galorys | 28c | 130.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Galorys | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 274 | 42.7%117 W · 157 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Fluxo W7M | 46c | 121$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Galorys | 77c | 120.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo W7M | 46c | 105.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 104.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Galorys | 65c | 100.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Galorys | 51c | 100.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fluxo W7M | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Fluxo W7M | 52c | 93.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Galorys | 59c | 92.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Galorys | 50c | 91.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 239 | 35.6%85 W · 154 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fluxo W7M | 69c | 90.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Galorys | 51c | 79.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Galorys | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Galorys | 28c | 56.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Fluxo W7M | 79c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Fluxo W7M | 30c | 49.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fluxo W7M | 69c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fluxo W7M | 60c | 27.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fluxo W7M | 77c | 25.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fluxo W7M | 56c | 22.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Fluxo W7M | 57c | 22.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Fluxo W7M | 52c | 22.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Fluxo W7M | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 254 | 50.8%129 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Fluxo W7M | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 793 | 46.4%368 W · 425 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…881bbacked Galorys | 75c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 2 WinnerGalorys won
- Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)Galorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.